OOTP: Eight. Weeks. Later.

The following is part of our simulation of the 2020 Pittsburgh Pirates season, using Out of the Park Baseball (OOTP). We simulate the season each day, as it was originally scheduled, and with no input from any of us, all to give you a Pirates team to follow this year. You can follow the simulation by inning and make it seem like a game, or you can skip to the end and find out what happens.

Hey, remember that daily OOTP simulation we were running when it looked like there would be no baseball at all this year?

We’ve kept running it, but waited to post the next article until everything was ironed out in the transition to Pittsburgh Baseball Network.

The Pirates were at .500, and Jose Osuna had just joined the simulation to propel them to a win. That was definitely welcome for a site with a historically rabid Jose Osuna fan base.

And now we find ourselves eight weeks into the future in this simulation.

The Pirates are 55-51, one game back in the NL Central, following the completion of today’s games. The Cardinals are in first place. The Pirates are two games back from the Mets for the second Wild Card.

The current rotation is: Joe Musgrove, Trevor Williams, Chris Stratton, James Marvel, Hector Noesi. All of them have an ERA of 4.50 or lower, with Marvel at 4.50 over 28 innings and Noesi at 2.92 over 12.1.

Chris Archer is out for three months with a partially torn labrum.

Mitch Keller is out for five more days with a sprained ankle, at which point they’ll have a difficult decision to make with Noesi.

Chris Stratton has been a surprise, with a 3.32 ERA.

Keller has a 3.78 ERA and leads the team with 130 strikeouts.

Nick Burdi has 17 saves in 24 attempts.

Josh Bell just went on the 10-day IL with a mild oblique strain.

Adam Frazier has a .362 average, which leads the majors.

Josh Bell has 21 home runs. Gregory Polanco is the only other player with double-digits at 18.

Jarrod Dyson has 17 stolen bases, and had a 20-game hitting streak end, which is still the best in the NL this year.

Frazier and Bell are the only players with an OPS over .800, both above .900. Gregory Polaco and Kevin Newman are the only other players above .700.

WHAT’S NEXT

We’re going to keep this simulation going, while also expanding our daily simulation projects here at No Quarter. Tomorrow I’ll have a look at what the simulation “got right” about the early results from the real-life Pirates.

OOTP

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